Liang Zhonghua of Haitong Securities: The general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 has been determined, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Liang Zhonghua, chief macro analyst of Haitong Securities, said that judging from the statement of the meeting, the general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 is certain. Among them, "supernormal countercyclical adjustment" was put forward for the first time. Liang Zhonghua analyzed that "supernormal adjustment" may be different from QE (quantitative easing) in western countries, but refers to a traditional tool that has grown steadily in the past few years, making a breakthrough on the margin and playing the role of "keeping innovation" and "enriching and perfecting the policy toolbox". Judging from the policies that have been issued since September, this round of steady growth is a steady growth under the framework of "high quality". The high-quality framework will not change, and there will be no strong stimulation of flood irrigation. The meeting proposed to "implement a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy". Liang Zhonghua believes that next year's finance is expected to make further marginal efforts. It is expected that deficit ratio may improve. At present, 3.5%-4.0% is more likely, and the scale of special bonds may be marginally increased. Special government bonds supporting "duality" and "two innovations" will continue to be issued or increased. In addition, the debt-melting policy launched in November will also be the financial focus next year, and it is expected that special government bonds may be issued to supplement bank capital. In addition, the gradual interest rate cut will continue next year, and the structural monetary policy will continue to exert its strength. The meeting stressed that "it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency, and expand domestic demand in all directions." In this regard, Liang Zhonghua believes that compared with Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's statement of "expanding domestic demand with the focus on boosting consumption" in July, this meeting pays more attention to expanding domestic demand, and its support is expected to be further increased in the future. Since the beginning of this year, with the extra-long special national debt funds in place, the consumption of consumer goods trade-in policy has gradually emerged. There is still room for further efforts to expand domestic demand policies such as replacing old consumer goods with new ones next year. Liang Zhonghua also mentioned that this meeting clearly put forward "stabilizing the property market and stock market", which shows that the policy pays high attention to the property market and stock market. As an important signal to pay attention to the economy and expectations, the policies of the property market and stock market are also positive.Electric wind power set up a new company, including offshore wind turbine business. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Shangdian Ruoqiang New Energy Co., Ltd. was established with Gao Xiang as its legal representative and registered capital of 1 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of new energy prime mover equipment; Sales of onshore wind turbines; Offshore wind turbine sales, etc. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is wholly owned by Electric Wind Power.General Administration of Customs: China's imports of iron ore, coal and natural gas increased in the first 11 months. According to customs statistics, in the first 11 months of 2024, China imported 1.124 billion tons of iron ore, up 4.3%, and the average import price (the same below) was 768 yuan per ton, down 3.9%; 506 million tons of crude oil, down by 1.9% to 4,208.8 yuan per ton, up by 0.3%; 490 million tons of coal, up 14.8%, 688.4 yuan per ton, down 12.5%; 120 million tons of natural gas, up by 12% to 3,506.2 yuan per ton, down by 5.8%; 97.09 million tons of soybeans, an increase of 9.4% and a decrease of 15.1% to 3,591.7 yuan per ton; Refined oil reached 44.94 million tons, up by 4.5%, reaching 4,322.9 yuan per ton, up by 4.5%. In addition, 26.333 million tons of plastics with primary shapes were imported, a decrease of 2.4% to 10,800 yuan per ton, a decrease of 0.1%; The unwrought copper and copper products reached 5.127 million tons, up by 1.7% and 67,700 yuan per ton, up by 11.1%.
The Nikkei 225 index closed at 39,197.42 points in early trading, up 0.09%.Musk responded that Cyberruck has no Logo: the design is special enough. Cybercab and Cyberruck are not equipped with the iconic "T" logo like the four flagship models. Tesla CEO Musk said on X that if the product is special enough, there is no need for any logo. When Musk showed Cybertruck in November 2019, he pointed out that most pickup trucks on the market today look the same. If the brand logo of the front of the car is removed, it is difficult to distinguish the pickup truck models of different manufacturers.Musk responded that Cyberruck has no Logo: the design is special enough. Cybercab and Cyberruck are not equipped with the iconic "T" logo like the four flagship models. Tesla CEO Musk said on X that if the product is special enough, there is no need for any logo. When Musk showed Cybertruck in November 2019, he pointed out that most pickup trucks on the market today look the same. If the brand logo of the front of the car is removed, it is difficult to distinguish the pickup truck models of different manufacturers.
1 trillion yuan of ultra-long-term special government bonds have been arranged! The combination of boxing has been effective. At present, the "double"+"two new" annual 1 trillion yuan ultra-long-term special national debt has all been arranged. In November, the purchasing managers' index of manufacturing industry reached 50.3%, rising for three consecutive months. The "two-fold" and "two innovations" package of incremental policies is effectively promoting the sustained and steady progress of the economy. (CCTV News)Fuyi Wine intends to acquire Chinese wineries to be used as the production base of Penfolds brand. Fuyi Wine Group said that it will spend RMB 130 million to acquire 75% equity of Ningxia Stone & Moon Winery in Ningxia, China. The company listed on the Australian Stock Exchange plans to use 106 acres of high-quality vineyards of the winery for the production of Penfolds wine. Fuyi Wine Group can acquire the remaining shares of Wangyueshi Winery in five years. It is reported that the Penfolds brand was founded in 1844. Penfolds wine is mainly produced in Australia, but some of it is brewed from grapes grown in France and California. (Lei Jun reveals the pronunciation of Xiaomi YU7: Y-U-7. Lei Jun, the founder, chairman and CEO of Xiaomi Technology, made a public response to the pronunciation of the new product code "YU7" which has attracted much attention recently through his personal social platform. Lei Jun said: "Many people ask YU7 how to read? Just read Y-U-7 directly. " He also revealed: "When it is released, we will explain in detail why it is named like this." It is worth noting that YU7 is Xiaomi's first SUV model. Previously, Lei Jun once issued a document saying that Xiaomi YU7 is currently conducting a large-scale road test and is expected to be officially listed in June and July next year.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13